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DP7301
Household Heterogeneity and the Real Exchange Rate: Still a Puzzle
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Publication Date:
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May 2009
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Link to this Page:
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www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP7301.asp.asp
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Kocherlakota and Pistaferri (EJ, 2007) [KP] develop a model of a world economy with private-information Pareto optimal (PIPO) risk sharing; in that model, the real exchange rate tracks relative domestic/foreign cross-sectional distributions of consumption. KP claim that the PIPO model fits the UK/US real exchange rate well.
This paper shows that the PIPO model is inconsistent with the UK/US data. Minor specification changes overturn KP’s regression results. I also document that the relevant (relative) cross-sectional consumption moment is orders of magnitude more volatile than the real exchange rate, and less persistent. The link between the real exchange rage and consumption (heterogeneity) remains a puzzle.
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