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DP7301 Household Heterogeneity and the Real Exchange Rate: Still a Puzzle

Author(s): Robert Kollmann
Publication Date: May 2009
Keyword(s): heterogeneity , International risk sharing , real exchange rate
JEL(s): F36 , F41
Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics
Link to this Page: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP7301.asp.asp


Kocherlakota and Pistaferri (EJ, 2007) [KP] develop a model of a world economy with private-information Pareto optimal (PIPO) risk sharing; in that model, the real exchange rate tracks relative domestic/foreign cross-sectional distributions of consumption. KP claim that the PIPO model fits the UK/US real exchange rate well. This paper shows that the PIPO model is inconsistent with the UK/US data. Minor specification changes overturn KP’s regression results. I also document that the relevant (relative) cross-sectional consumption moment is orders of magnitude more volatile than the real exchange rate, and less persistent. The link between the real exchange rage and consumption (heterogeneity) remains a puzzle.


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