DP6463 The Sources of Long-term Economic Growth for Turkey, 1880-2005

Author(s): Sumru G. Altug , Alpay Filiztekin , Sevket Pamuk

Publication Date: September 2007

Keyword(s): determinants of growth , growth accounting , sectoral re-allocation

JEL(s): E60 , N15 , O40 , O50 , O57

Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics

Link to this Page: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP6463.asp.asp

This paper considers the sources of long-term economic growth for Turkey over the period 1880-2005. The period in question covers the decline and eventual dissolution of the former Ottoman Empire and the emergence of the new Turkish Republic in 1923. Hence, the paper provides a unique look at the growth experience of these two different political and economic regimes. The paper examines in detail the evolution of factors that led to growth in output across broad periods, including the post WWII period and the era or globalization beginning in the 1980's. It also considers output growth in the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors separately and allows for the effects of sectoral re-allocation. The lessons from this exercise have important implications for Turkey's future economic performance, for its ability to converge to per capita income levels of developed countries, and for the viability of its current bid for European Union membership.