DP4479 The Dynamics of R&D and Innovation in the Short-Run and in the Long-Run

Author(s): Laura Bottazzi , Giovanni Peri

Publication Date: July 2004

Keyword(s): innovation , panel cointegration , error correction mechanism , international R&D spillovers

JEL(s): C23 , F43 , O31

Programme Areas: International Macroeconomics

Link to this Page: www.cepr.org/pubs/dps/DP4479.asp

In this Paper we estimate the dynamic relationship between resources used in R&D by some OECD countries and their innovation output as measured by patent applications. We first estimate a long-run cointegration relation using recently developed tests and panel estimation techniques. We find that the stock of knowledge of a country, it’s R&D resources and the stock of international knowledge move together in the long run. Then, imposing this long-run relation across variables we analyse the impulse response of new ideas to a shock to R&D or to a shock to innovation by estimating an error correction mechanism. We find that internationally generated ideas have a very significant impact in helping innovation in a country. As a consequence, a positive shock to innovation in a large country as the US has, both in the short and in the long run, a significant positive effect on the innovation of all other countries.