A farmer and his son, having finished ploughing for the day,
manoeuvre their tractor from the field across the adjoining road.
Suddenly they see a Jaguar speeding toward them at l00 mph. A split
second before impact, the Jaguar suddenly veers off the road into the
field, skids through a cloud of dust, regains the road and flies off
into the distance. The farmer turns to the boy and says, "Son, we
left that field just in time."
The spirit of this tale lies at the heart of the failure of
unemployment policy throughout the EU over the past decade. By
subsidising unemployment rather than employment, policy has compounded
the problem it is meant to solve. Governments pay people when they are
unemployed and tax them when they find a job. Far from inducing workers
to seek employment and firms to take them on, the policy discourages
them from doing so and thereby contributes to the unemployment problem.
It discourages people from seeking work and then provides a safety net
to those it has kept unemployed
As a way of tackling unemployment, this policy makes little sense. It
is particularly damaging in times of recession, when unemployment is
clearly a waste of human resources, rather than the efficient outcome of
people's desire to search for jobs. But there is an alternative. If the
same money spent on unemployment benefit could be redirected so that it
provided an incentive, rather than a disincentive, to create employment
the EU would undoubtedly reap a large benefit.
This is the purpose of my ‘Benefit Transfer Programme', on which
the UK Workstart pilot schemes are based. The idea is to give the
unemployed - particularly those who have been unemployed for a long time
- a better option by allowing them to use a portion of their
unemployment benefits as a voucher paid to employers that hire them. In
this way unemployment benefit systems, which currently impose an
implicit tax on work could be the source of employment subsidies
directed at those who need these subsidies most - the long-term
unemployed.
Current benefit systems are notoriously inefficient. They keep the
unemployed from competing effectively for jobs. But they also magnify
existing inequities in people's job opportunities. The longer people are
unemployed, the more their skills erode, the more discouraged they
become in searching for jobs, and the more wary employers become of
hiring them.
The appropriate policy response to the problem of the long-term
unemployed ought therefore to be to make it more profitable for firms to
hire them and for these unemployed to find jobs, rather than merely to
provide limited support when people are unemployed. To the unemployed,
the amount the government spends on unemployment benefits may not appear
very substantial; but if these funds, along with the foregone tax
revenues, were offered to employers as wage subsidies, they could have a
very substantial effect on employment.
Since the Programme is voluntary, the unemployed will join only if it
is to their advantage. But many will, since the wages they will be
offered will be much higher than their unemployment benefits. At the
same time employers will join only if they find it profitable. Once
again, many may well do so since the subsidies reduce their labour
costs.
In short, employees wind up receiving substantially more than their
unemployment benefits, and many employers wind up paying substantially
less than the prevailing wages. The difference is the unemployment
support that has been transferred to wage subsidies.
The reduction in unemployment can be achieved at no extra budgetary
cost, since the government would not be spending more on the wage
subsidies than it would have spent anyway on unemployment support. Funds
that previously encouraged unemployment are now encouraging employment.
And since the long-term unemployed exert no noticeable dampening
influence on wages, the Programme would not be inflationary.
What distinguishes the Benefit Transfer Programme from previous wage
subsidy proposals is that it can link the size of the employment
vouchers to the size of unemployment benefits, the duration of previous
employment, the duration of subsequent employment, and the amount of
training that employers provide.
The longer people have been unemployed (up to a 2-year maximum), the
larger would be the vouchers that they receive immediately upon finding
jobs. But once they have found jobs, the vouchers would gradually
decline as their span of employment continues.
By linking employment vouchers to existing unemployment benefits, the
Benefit Transfer Programme would be self-regulating, providing the most
generous subsidies when unemployment is highest and focusing support on
regions with the highest unemployment rates.
Substantially larger vouchers could be given to employers who can
prove that they are using these funds for training. The Benefit Transfer
Programme could then become the basis for an EU initiative to promote
the acquisition of skills. Clearly, firms will spend the voucher on
training only if they intend to retain their recruits after the
subsidies have run out. So training for the unemployed would
automatically come with the prospect of long-term employment, something
that existing government training schemes do not offer.
The case for implementing the Benefit Transfer Programme at the EU
level appears strong. The Programme will promote employment and
training, it will not be inflationary and will not cost governments
anything. So what have we to lose?
Dennis Snower is Professor of Economics at Birkbeck College, London
and Co-Director of CEPR’s Human Resources programme.
Dennis J Snower, ‘The future of the welfare state’, CEPR
Occasional Paper No. 13 (March 1993).
Assar Lindbeck and Dennis J Snower, ‘How are product demand changes
transmitted to the labour market?’