Germany's distinctive, bank-based system of investment finance is
believed to have played a key role in Germany's postwar economic
success, by providing external finance for investment at low cost and by
ensuring sound corporate governance. Jeremy Edwards and Klaus Fischer
find little evidence to support this view in their detailed comparison
of banks, finance and investment in Germany and the United Kingdom.
Economic theory suggests that the German system might have two
important advantages: it might provide finance for investment
more readily and at lower cost; and it might ensure better
monitoring of managements on behalf of shareholders. German banks might
be able to provide loan finance at low cost for two reasons: their
representation on supervisory boards gives them access to better
information about the firms to which they lend; and such representation
might enable banks to reduce the costs of financial distress, by
preventing managers of failing firms from taking actions which harm the
suppliers of debt finance. The German system might also be better at
providing equity finance: because they know more about the firms, banks
might be able to screen new issues more effectively on behalf of
potential shareholders. Investors would therefore be more willing to
take up new issues which have been screened by the banks, and firms
would gain improved access to equity finance.
Corporate governance might be better in Germany as well. It is
often argued, for example, that in companies with widely dispersed share
ownership, an individual shareholder has little incentive to monitor
managers closely. Banks' proxy voting power and supervisory board
representation _might_ enable them to monitor more effectively
managerial performance and so avoid the need to use hostile takeovers to
discipline managers.
The theoretical case for a German-style system seems compelling.
Edwards and Fischer's detailed analysis reveals, however, that the
system does not seem to operate as the theory suggests. Over the period
1970-89, for example, their calculations (based on flow of funds data)
reveal that UK non-financial enterprises financed a higher proportion of
their gross capital formation by loans from financial institutions than
did German non-financial enterprises. Related research by CEPR Research
Fellows Jenny Corbett and Tim Jenkinson confirms this finding: their
comparison of investment finance in Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom
and the United States reveals that if there is an outlier, it is Japan,
not Germany.
Does representation on supervisory boards lead German banks to
provide a greater volume of loan finance? Edwards and Fischer find
little empirical evidence to support this claim. Most German firms do
not possess supervisory boards: only AGs and large GmbHs are legally
required to have them. AGs actually financed a smaller proportion of
their investment by bank loans than did other types of firms in Germany.
AGs also financed a smaller proportion of their investment by bank
borrowing than did comparable public limited companies in the UK.
Edwards and Fischer also find that German banks supply very little
external equity finance to firms: equity represents only about 3% of the
value of bank loans made to German non-bank firms. Neither do German
banks play an important role as underwriters of new issues. Until the
early 1980s, German companies made very fewinitial public offerings of
shares: this method of raising finance was insignificant.
Are German banks, by virtue of their positions on supervisory boards,
able to limit the costs of financial distress and ensure smooth
reorganizations of troubled firms? The evidence presented by Edwards and
Fischer casts doubt on this claim as well. Because German bank loans to
firms are typically secured by collateral, the losses banks suffer from
a firm going bankrupt are small on average, and hence banks' incentives
to reorganize rather than liquidate are limited. The evidence also shows
a tremendous variation among German banks in their ability to detect
problem loans at an early stage and to reorganize firms in distress.
There is also little evidence that German banks play a key role in
controlling managements on behalf of shareholders. Steven Kaplan's study
of management and supervisory boards in Germany reveals that turnover on
these boards does increase with poor share performance, but that the
turnover-performance relationship does not vary with measures of bank
voting power. In addition, if banks did play an important rolein
corporate governance, then profits should be higher in firms where banks
have stronger control: the empirical evidence available for Germany
suggests this is not the case, according to Edwards and Fischer.
It may be that German banks don't need to monitor managers closely:
in the United Kingdom share holdings are typically widely dispersed, but
in Germany most large listed AGs have at least one shareholder whose
holdings are large enough to provide them with a strong incentive to
monitor management. Edwards and Fischer argue that if large German firms
do suffer less from managerial failure than do their UK counterparts,
the reason may not be that German banks are especially good at
controlling managers, but that the structure of share ownership in
Germany provides shareholders with stronger incentives to monitor
managers themselves.
Banks, Finance and Investment in Germany, by Jeremey Edwards and
Klaus Fischer, was published by Cambridge University Press earlier this
month.
Edwards is aUniversity Lecturer in the Faculty of Economics and
Politics at Cambridge University and a Research Fellow in the Financial
Economics programme at CEPR.
Fischer wrote his Ph.D. dissertation at Bonn University on house bank
relationships in Germany. The research reported in the book was financed
by the Anglo-German Foundation for the Study of Industrial Society and
forms part of CEPR's International Study of the Financing of Industry.