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Embargo: Friday 24 September 2004

EuroCOIN confirms Euro Area growth slowing

The latest value of the EuroCOIN indicator released by CEPR shows:

  • CEPR's EuroCOIN confirms the pause of euro area economic growth for August 2004 that was first recorded in July, after a period of accelerating activity.

  • EuroCOIN decreased from a quarterly growth rate of 0.610 in July to 0.566 in August.

  • The most recent data led to a moderate downward revision for June and July.

  • The overall indicator combines information coming from different macroeconomic variables. Positive signals come from industrial production, while interest rates, labour variables and surveys point to a slowdown.

  • All components of the indicator point to a decline in growth except the industrial production series.

  • EuroCOIN figures from May 2004 are provisional and may revised next month.  

Notes for Editors:

CEPR is an international network of 600 Research Fellows based mainly in Europe, who collaborate through the Centre in research and its dissemination. CEPR helps its Research Fellows to develop projects, obtain their funding, administer them and disseminate their results. The Centre's research ranges from open economy macroeconomics to trade policy, from the economic transformation of Central and Eastern Europe to regionalism in the world economy.

Who produces the Indicator? EuroCOIN monthly by CEPR and constructed by a team of academic researchers associated with CEPR. The team comprises: Filippo Altissimo (Banca d'Italia and CEPR), Antonio Bassanetti (Banca d'Italia),Riccardo Christadoro (Banca d'Italia), Mario Forni (Universita di Modena and CEPR), Marc Hellin (ECARES, Universite Libre de Bruxelles), Marco Lippi (Universita di Roma), Lucrezia Reichlin (ECARES, Universite Libre de Bruxelles and CEPR), Giovanni Veronese (Banca d'Italia)

Contact Information:

For interview requests and further information about CEPR please contact CEPR Press Officer Robbie Lonie, Tel: (44 020) 7878 2919, Mobile: 07740 519 225 or email rlonie@cepr.org

For more information: http://www.cepr.org/data/eurocoin

 
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